with Felix Chopra, Ingar Haaland and Christopher Roth
We test the effectiveness of different AI-delivered conversation protocols to increase people's motivation for change. In a large-scale experiment with 2,719 social media users, we randomly assign participants to a control conversation or one of three treatment arms: two Motivational Interviewing protocols promoting self-persuasion (change focus or decisional balance) and a direct persuasion protocol providing unsolicited advice and information. All conversations are led by an AI interviewer, enabling standardized delivery of each protocol at scale. Our results show that all three interventions significantly increase motivation for change and the perceived costs of social media use, with change-focused self-persuasion yielding the largest effects. These effects persist and translate into self-reported reductions in social media use more than two weeks after the intervention. Our findings illustrate how AI-led conversations can serve as a scalable platform both for delivering behavioral interventions and for testing what makes them effective by systematically varying how conversations are conducted.
with Leonardo Bursztyn, Ingar Haaland and Christopher Roth
Accepted, Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics.
Social desirability bias (SDB) is a pervasive threat to the validity of survey and experimental data. Respondents might often misreport sensitive attitudes and behaviors to appear more socially acceptable. We begin by synthesizing empirical evidence on the prevalence and magnitude of SDB across various domains, focusing on studies with individual-level benchmarks. We then critically assess commonly used strategies to mitigate SDB, highlighting how they can sometimes fail by creating confusion or inadvertently increasing perceived sensitivity. To help researchers navigate these challenges, we offer practical guidance on selecting the most suitable tools for different research contexts. Finally, we examine how SDB can distort treatment effects in experiments and discuss mitigation strategies.
Abstract: In recent years, the support of populist parties has risen strongly in Western Democracies; the Brexit vote in the United Kingdom, the success of the Front National in France and the rise of the AfD in Germany are very prominent examples of this phenomenon. A prominent literature strand proposes the cultural backlash hypothesis to be an explanation of this trend: Populist voting behaviour is driven by a reaction against progressive cultural changes. Progressive value shifts have created a sense of displacement among those with more traditional views leading to a higher appeal of populist parties. In this project, I aim to experimentally isolate this channel and prove the causal power of this hypothesis.
Happy to share slides!